Pakistan Forecasts Below-Normal Rainfall for Most Regions Amid Ongoing Flood Threats

A seven‑day rainfall forecast for Pakistan, covering 11‑18 August, indicates below‑normal precipitation across the majority of the country. The analysis, based on thirty years of satellite data from CHIRPS and a global model from the European Centre for Medium‑Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), highlights that only the northern parts of Gilgit‑Baltistan, the northern and central regions of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, and the northeastern districts of Punjab are expected to receive above‑normal rainfall. The forecast comes at a time when parts of northern and central Pakistan are already experiencing flood conditions. Additional rainfall in these vulnerable areas could worsen the risk of flooding, glacial lake outburst floods (GLOF), and landslides, particularly in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Gilgit‑Baltistan, Azad Jammu & Kashmir, and northeastern Punjab. The World Food Programme’s report underscores the need for continued monitoring and preparedness in these high‑risk zones.