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RBI Likely to End Rate‑Cut Cycle with 25‑Basis‑Point Hike

WHY IT MATTERS

A shift to tightening could curb inflation and stabilize markets, impacting borrowing costs for businesses and households across India.

What happened

Bankers now expect the Reserve Bank of India to raise the repo rate by 25 basis points, signalling the end of the rate‑cutting phase that began in February 2025. Economists warn that inflation is likely to outpace the RBI’s forecasts, creating a need for tighter monetary policy. Despite external pressures, experts believe India’s resilient growth will give the RBI room to act. The central bank will focus on managing liquidity and ensuring rates align with broader policy objectives.

PRIMARY SOURCES

RBI may end rate-cut cycle with first hike since February 2023

The Times of India · TNN · Discovery only; publisher copyright terms apply

CORRECTIONS & UPDATES

  1. Revision 1 · Initial ingestion · Oct 5, 2026, 12:45 AM
  2. Revision 2 · Source update detected · Oct 5, 2026, 12:45 AM
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