WORLD · VERIFIED DEVELOPMENT
Somalia Forecast: Moderate to Heavy Rainfall in Somaliland, Low Flood Risk, Heat Stress Continues
WHY IT MATTERS
The forecast informs water resource management, agricultural planning, and disaster risk reduction efforts across Somalia and neighboring regions.
What happened
A weekly weather outlook issued by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations indicates moderate to locally heavy rainfall across parts of Somaliland and Hiraan, with significant precipitation expected over the Ethiopian headwaters of the Shabelle and Juba rivers. The forecast notes that river levels are rising but flood risk remains low for the week, with all monitored stations staying below moderate flood‑risk thresholds.
Central Somalia is projected to receive patchy rainfall, while the Juba valley and interior Lower Shabelle are likely to stay dry, offering limited drought relief.
Daytime temperatures of 35–40 °C are expected to persist across much of the southern and central lowlands, heightening heat and water stress in already dry areas.
PRIMARY SOURCES
Somalia Weekly Weather Forecast - Valid From 30 September to 6 October 2026
ReliefWeb / original provider · Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations · ReliefWeb aggregation; original provider terms apply; link and attribution to the named source required
CORRECTIONS & UPDATES
- Revision 1 · Initial ingestion · Oct 5, 2026, 4:00 AM
- Revision 2 · Source update detected · Oct 5, 2026, 4:00 AM